It's really warm across the state this week. So warm that the all-time warmest temperatures for the month of November were recorded in Jacksonville on Sunday (89°), then in Daytona Beach (90°) and Tallahassee (89°) on Monday. Several other cities have tied or set new daily record highs since Saturday, including cities like Tampa, Naples, Melbourne, Vero Beach and Gainesville. A persistent southerly flow around a stubborn ridge of high pressure is responsible for the record-setting warmth. The south winds have also transported an unusually humid air mass into the state, keeping overnight lows warm as well. In addition the daytime record highs, numerous record high minimum temperatures (in the morning) have been set, such as in Fort Lauderdale, Naples, Melbourne, Daytona Beach and Key West just to name a few.
The pattern across much of North America is not forecast to change much in the coming days, so the warmer-than-normal temperatures will likely persist across the state through mid-month. A strong ridge of high pressure is parked over the Bahamas and eastern Gulf of Mexico, forcing all weather systems to move around it to the north. This will likely prevent cold fronts from making it to the Sunshine State, and even if they do they will be very weak. The 8 to 14-day outlook from the Climate Prediction Center is for the above normal temperatures to continue, with precipitation expected to be near or just above normal.