A vigorous front will sweep across the state Tuesday night and Wednesday, triggering numerous thunderstorms capable of producing wind damage and even a few tornadoes. The risk of severe weather is highest in the Florida Panhandle Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, then it will spread south and east during the day Wednesday. The front will weaken and exit South Florida Wednesday evening.
An outbreak of tornadoes is expected by the Storm Prediction Center in parts of Louisiana, southern Mississippi and Alabama Tuesday afternoon. Some of the tornadoes could be long-lived and strong. This risk will spread east into the western sections of the Florida panhandle between 4 pm and 10 pm this evening. The storms will organize into a squall line ahead of the approaching front after midnight as it nears Panama City and Tallahassee after midnight. Extensive wind damage is also possible from some of the stronger segments of thunderstorms, along with the ongoing risk of a tornado.
The line of thunderstorms moving through the panhandle overnight will weaken some as it approaches North Florida Wednesday morning. However, dynamics are expected to be significant enough aloft to warrant a continued risk of severe weather, including an isolated tornado. This risk spreads quickly southeast toward the I-4 corridor and includes the Tampa and Orlando metro areas by midday Wednesday. A low risk of severe weather will also continue with the line as it moves through South Florida Wednesday afternoon.