The first outlook (of the season) from the National Hurricane Center is for no tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic Basin over the next five days. However, advisories are being issued for Tropical Depression Two in the Eastern Pacific. TD Two is expected to weaken as it moves inland across southeast Mexico later today. Heavy rains and potential mudslides are the biggest threats from TD Two.Much of Florida could still use the rain.

Despite more normalcy to recent rains in Florida, the drought hasn't improved much in most areas; even worsened in parts of #NFla. #flwx

— Jeff Huffman (@HuffmanHeadsUp) June 1, 2017

Rainfall deficits in many locations are still well over ten inches dating back to the days after Hurricane Matthew drenched the peninsula.  


Potential rainfall over the next five days.

In addition to the typical uptick in scattered afternoon thunderstorms Florida experiences each day this time of year, deeper tropical moisture will be moving in from the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and early next week. Some of this moisture could be tied to remnants of the aforementioned tropical depression in the Pacific.

Forecast data is not always reliable this far out with regards to specifics, but confidence is high that rain chances will be elevated through the weekend and early next week.  In addition to the afternoon sea breeze showers and thunderstorms, periods of heavier rain may also be possible at other times of day or night. Early projections on future rain are in the one to three inch range over the next five days.

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