1. Heaviest rain north Mon-Tue
  2. Shifts south rest of the week
  3. Locally heavy rainfall possible

A stalled front and tropical moisture will team up to produce higher than normal rain chances across the Florida Panhandle and northern sections of the peninsula early in the week, shifting south during the second half of the week.

Deeper moisture was evident over the northern Gulf of Mexico on Monday's water vapor imagery.

Southwest winds were steering that added moisture and energy inland, leading to earlier arriving and longer lasting showers and thunderstorms across the northern third of the state by early afternoon.

In the following video I explain why the deeper moisture will be shunted further south by midweek. This will allow much of north Florida to dry out (outside of the typical sea breeze showers), while heavier and longer-lasting thunderstorms will be aimed at central and southern sections of the state by week's end.


A more typical mid-summer weather pattern is likely to evolve by this weekend across Florida, with sea breezes being the primary firing mechanism for brief afternoon and evening showers or thunderstorms.

Keep tabs on the rain using our radar images below or download the mobile app Florida Storms.

Content in this section is current now, not necessarily at the time of this post. 

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